Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 3.529858 4.169412 4.860558 5.659314 6.553248 7.519190 8.638076
2026-01-18 2.657157 3.511134 4.509215 5.746867 7.224834 8.917732 10.987188
2026-01-25 1.941787 2.873062 4.048347 5.604965 7.575133 9.948274 12.982689
2026-02-01 1.439962 2.387344 3.676146 5.491529 7.912564 10.959270 15.005868
2026-02-08 1.075369 2.001289 3.357639 5.382607 8.214998 11.920131 17.005439
2026-02-15 0.819262 1.711686 3.116412 5.330525 8.563612 12.939351 19.117055
2026-02-22 0.687323 1.588334 3.095592 5.578932 9.331104 14.545368 22.067167
2026-03-01 0.541198 1.401109 2.938798 5.593924 9.749481 15.680745 24.422383
2026-03-08 0.383888 1.144153 2.616742 5.300788 9.670855 16.094065 25.782771
2026-03-15 0.276449 0.952871 2.371272 5.093422 9.690730 16.630258 27.316705
2026-03-22 0.239741 0.913713 2.403982 5.361120 10.472184 18.316025 30.549673
2026-03-29 0.219562 0.910468 2.505986 5.757579 11.480819 20.378032 34.391431
2026-04-05 0.193084 0.883739 2.559696 6.078443 12.397110 22.358619 38.215511
2026-04-12 0.153519 0.802383 2.481870 6.143682 12.885256 23.698433 41.135097
2026-04-19 0.109940 0.684269 2.296834 5.978388 12.961022 24.390449 43.100462
2026-04-26 0.078506 0.588102 2.141305 5.849765 13.085238 25.155677 45.192547
2026-05-03 0.055215 0.505800 2.000059 5.729859 13.209419 25.915752 47.288472
2026-05-10 0.039365 0.442928 1.894759 5.671873 13.438381 26.849692 49.675384
2026-05-17 0.033561 0.430445 1.930562 5.930000 14.274308 28.819668 53.742705
2026-05-24 0.024502 0.386946 1.863313 5.944419 14.641685 30.009708 56.597883
2026-05-31 0.013868 0.310913 1.670099 5.636706 14.357322 30.072877 57.641904
2026-06-07 0.007785 0.255261 1.523825 5.419026 14.230013 30.392479 59.098350
2026-06-14 0.006628 0.253324 1.572635 5.699172 15.128973 32.535524 63.585849